Q3 2022 · NSE · Nov 8, 2022

DMART Profit Grew 64%. A One-Off Tax Benefit Did Much of the Work.

DMart's Q2 FY2023 net income grew 64.14% year-on-year, but the effective tax rate fell to just 8.32% from 26.41% a year ago - and the company's own investor presentation confirms this quarter's profit isn't comparable to prior periods because of a one-off tax benefit, meaning the real operating growth is closer to the 31.76% pre-tax profit growth.

The Company Flagged Its Own Number as Not Comparable

This filing covers the quarter ended September 30, 2022 - Q2 of Avenue Supermarts' FY2023. Revenue grew 36.58% year-on-year to Rs. 10,638.33 crore, and net income grew 64.14% to Rs. 685.71 crore - on the surface, another strong quarter. But the effective tax rate this quarter was just 8.32%, down from 26.41% a year ago, and DMart's own accompanying investor presentation states plainly: "PAT and PAT margin for H1/23 not comparable with prior periods due to one-off tax benefit in H1/23." That's a rare instance of the company itself flagging a distortion in its own headline profit figure, rather than a reader having to infer it.

Strip the tax effect out and the underlying operating story is still solid, just less dramatic: profit before tax grew 31.76% year-on-year - close to, but meaningfully below, revenue growth of 36.58%, meaning operating margin actually compressed slightly this quarter (7.20% versus 7.45% a year ago) even before tax. The 64.14% net-income growth headline flatters what was, underneath the tax benefit, a perfectly good but not exceptional quarter.

The Prescription

Explicitly disclosing a one-off tax benefit and its effect on comparability - as DMart did here - is exactly the kind of proactive, reader-respecting disclosure this site has repeatedly asked the company to do more of in earlier quarters (see Q4 FY2022's tax-rate flag and Q1 FY2023's base-effect note, both of which the company left for a reader to figure out unaided). Management should keep this practice up whenever a quarter's numbers are affected by something one-off, whether flattering or unflattering. What it should stop doing: disclosing the existence of the one-off benefit in the investor presentation while saying nothing about its actual size or source in either the presentation or the filed results - a reader can tell the tax rate is distorted, but can't tell by how much of the 8.32% effective rate is "real" versus one-off, which makes it hard to build a clean forward tax-rate assumption from this quarter alone.

Key Financial Metrics

Quarter ended September 30, 2022 (consolidated), compared against Q2 FY2022 (quarter ended September 30, 2021)

FX: INR 81.4806 = USD 1 (September 30, 2022 month-end).

Metric Q2 FY2023 (INR) Q2 FY2023 (USD) YoY Change Note
Net Revenue (revenue from operations) Rs. 10,638.33 crore ~$1,305.6M ✅ +36.58%
Total Income (incl. other income) Rs. 10,673.90 crore ~$1,310.0M ✅ +36.55%
Total Expenses Rs. 9,925.95 crore ~$1,218.2M ⚠️ +36.94% Grew marginally faster than revenue
Operating Income (EBIT, reconstructed) Rs. 765.63 crore ~$94.0M ✅ +31.99% 7.20% margin, down from 7.45% a year ago
Adjusted EBITDA» (reconstructed) Rs. 927.59 crore ~$113.8M ✅ +33.26% 8.72% margin, down from 8.94%
Finance Costs Rs. 17.68 crore ~$2.2M ⚠️ +42.92%
Profit Before Tax Rs. 747.95 crore ~$91.8M ✅ +31.76% The cleaner pre-tax growth figure
Tax Expense Rs. 62.24 crore ~$7.6M ✅ -58.47% ⚠️ Effective rate 8.32%, down from 26.41% - one-off benefit, see Beyond the Usual
Net Income Rs. 685.71 crore ~$84.2M ✅ +64.14% 6.45% net margin, inflated by the tax benefit
Basic / Diluted EPS Rs. 10.58 / Rs. 10.50 ~$0.130 / ~$0.129 ✅ +64.03% (basic)

Operating Income and Adjusted EBITDA are reconstructed the same way as every DMart quarter on this site: Operating Income = Profit Before Tax + Finance Costs; Adjusted EBITDA adds back Depreciation and Amortisation (Rs. 161.96 crore, up 39.60% year-on-year, continuing the capex-driven acceleration first flagged in Q4 FY2022) on top of that. No balance sheet or cash flow statement is disclosed as a separable quarter figure in this filing.

Paid-up equity share capital held flat at Rs. 647.775 crore.

The single most important number in this table isn't net income (+64.14%) - it's profit before tax (+31.76%), the last line unaffected by this quarter's tax anomaly. Everything below that line in the reported numbers is real cash to shareholders, but it isn't a repeatable growth rate; next quarter's YoY comparison will be measured against this quarter's own artificially low tax base, which will make a perfectly normal tax rate next year look like a decline in profit growth by comparison.

Beyond the Usual

A One-Off Tax Benefit the Company Disclosed but Didn't Quantify

DMart's own September 2022 investor presentation states directly that "PAT and PAT margin for H1/23 not comparable with prior periods due to one-off tax benefit in H1/23" - confirming the effective tax rate collapse this quarter (8.32%, versus 26.41% a year ago) is a real, company-acknowledged anomaly, not a filing error or misread. What the presentation doesn't disclose is the benefit's actual rupee size or its source (a tax credit, a settled dispute, a regime election) - so while the *existence* of the distortion is confirmed, a reader still can't cleanly separate "real" H1 FY2023 tax expense from the one-off component using only what's been disclosed.

This filing has no notes-on-financial-results text disclosed beyond a pointer to "the scan copy of results" (not available in the source downloaded for this post), so there are no footnote sections in the financial statement itself to mine - the tax-benefit disclosure above came from the investor presentation, not the filed results.

Target Valuation Range

DMart traded at roughly Rs. 2,84,150 crore (~$34.9B) market capitalization at this quarter's close (September 30, 2022) - a trailing-twelve-month P/E near 123x, though this multiple is itself inflated by the same one-off tax benefit flowing through trailing net income.

Item Value
Share price (September 30, 2022 close) Rs. 4,386.55
Shares outstanding ~64.78 crore
Market capitalization ~Rs. 2,84,150 crore (~$34.9B)
Total liabilities Not disclosed (no balance sheet in this filing)
Less: cash and equivalents Not disclosed
Enterprise value Not computable without a balance sheet - market cap used as a proxy below

No real DCF is possible without a balance sheet. Trailing-twelve-month net income through this quarter (Rs. 552.53 + Rs. 426.75 + Rs. 642.89 + Rs. 685.71 crore = Rs. 2,307.88 crore) implies a trailing P/E near 123x - up from Q1 FY2023's ~108x, but this quarter's own contribution to trailing earnings is flattered by the tax benefit discussed above, so the "true" trailing P/E (using pre-tax-benefit-normalized earnings) would sit somewhat higher than 123x. The EV/Revenue line below is a cleaner cross-check, since it isn't distorted by the tax anomaly, and it sits roughly in line with the last several quarters' range.

Metric This quarter (Q2 FY2023) Prior quarter (Q1 FY2023)
TTM Net Income Rs. 2,307.88 crore Rs. 2,039.93 crore
Trailing P/E ~123x (flattered by the tax benefit) ~108x
TTM Revenue ~Rs. 38,681 crore ~Rs. 35,831 crore
EV/Revenue (market cap as EV proxy) ~7.3x ~6.2x
Scenario Key assumption Implied trailing P/E Implied value
Current (period-end close) Actual September 30, 2022 close ~123x (tax-benefit-flattered) Rs. 4,386.55/share (~Rs. 2,84,150 crore, ~$34.9B)
Bear Market discounts the price now for the tax benefit reversing next quarter, compressing the multiple ~90x ~Rs. 3,206/share (~Rs. 2,07,709 crore, ~$25.5B)
Base Multiple holds near where it closed, consistent with the headline (tax-benefit-inflated) trailing P/E ~123x ~Rs. 4,382/share (~Rs. 2,83,869 crore, ~$34.8B)
Bull Market treats the pre-tax 31.76% growth as the real trend and re-rates the multiple higher ~160x ~Rs. 5,700/share (~Rs. 3,69,261 crore, ~$45.3B)

Source: Avenue Supermarts Limited's SEBI Regulation 33 quarterly financial results (XBRL) and October 2022 investor presentation for the quarter ended September 30, 2022, filed with NSE/BSE.