Q2 2018 · XETRA · Oct 15, 2018

DHER How Do You Post Your First-Ever Profit While Burning More Cash Than Ever?

Delivery Hero reported its first-ever net profit for a half-year - €146.7 million - but that number comes entirely from a €262.5 million one-time gain on selling its UK business, not from the underlying business, which still posted a €115.7 million continuing-operations loss and a wider Adjusted EBITDA loss than a year earlier.

A Profit That Isn't What It Looks Like

Delivery Hero's half-year report for the six months to June 30, 2018 contains a genuinely new number in the company's short public history: a net profit of €146.7 million, versus a net loss of €221.4 million a year earlier - the first time the consolidated bottom line has ever been positive. Read no further than that headline and the story looks like a turnaround. It isn't one. The entire swing, and then some, comes from a single non-operating item: a €262.5 million gain on the January 31, 2018 sale of hungryhouse, the UK business flagged as a pending divestment in the FY2017 post and finally closed in this half. Strip that one-time gain out and the continuing-operations net loss was €115.7 million - still a loss, and only 46% narrower than the prior year's €214.9 million continuing-operations loss (a real improvement, but nowhere close to profitable). Orders grew 45.8%, revenue grew 38.1% to €340.0 million, and the negative Adjusted EBITDA» margin improved from -18.4% to -15.4% of segment revenue - genuine progress on the metrics management controls directly. But the absolute Adjusted EBITDA loss still grew, from -€45.3 million to -€54.8 million, and operating cash flow burned €53.1 million against €79.0 million a year earlier - narrower, but still a real cash outflow, not a business that turned a corner. A reader who takes "first profitable half" at face value, without checking what produced it, would come away with exactly the wrong impression of how the underlying business is doing.

The Prescription

Delivery Hero should keep pursuing the MENA-style regional playbook it's now applying more broadly: use gains from portfolio pruning - like the hungryhouse sale - to fund the own-delivery build-out in markets that are actually working, rather than propping up every market at once. The Rappi stake taken in this half (€93.2 million for a Latin American on-demand platform, expanded further in a September 2018 follow-on round disclosed as a subsequent event) is the right instinct: buy optionality in a large new market through a minority stake rather than committing to a full build before proving the model works there, the same logic already applied to India a year earlier.

What it should stop doing is quietly narrowing its own footprint under the "M&A strategy" label without being upfront that this is a retreat, not a portfolio-optimization exercise. As a subsequent event disclosed in this same report, Delivery Hero announced plans to divest Brazil, Australia, France, Italy, and the Netherlands - five markets at once - just months after taking a nine-figure minority stake in Rappi to enter Latin America more broadly. Exiting underperforming markets can be the right call, but walking away from Brazil (a market Rappi itself operates in) in the same half it invested in a Brazil-adjacent competitor is the kind of contradiction that deserves a direct explanation, not a line buried in the events-after-the-reporting-period note (see Beyond the Usual).

Key Financial Metrics

H1 2018 vs. H1 2017, continuing operations unless noted, reported in EUR (H1 2018 also shown in USD)

FX: EUR 1 = USD 1.1563 (June 28, 2018 close, the last trading day before this quarter's June 30, 2018 period end, which fell on a Saturday).

Metric H1 2018 (EUR) H1 2018 (USD) H1 2017 (EUR) YoY
Revenue €340.0M ~$393.1M €246.2M ✅ +38.1%
Gross profit €199.3M ~$230.5M €163.8M ✅ +21.6%
Adjusted EBITDA (total segments) -€54.8M ~-$63.4M -€45.3M ⚠️ loss widened 21.1%
Operating result (EBIT) -€114.1M ~-$131.9M -€134.5M ✅ loss narrowed 15.2%
Net result (incl. discontinued operations) €146.7M ~$169.6M -€221.4M ✅ swung to profit - almost entirely the hungryhouse gain, see above
Diluted/basic EPS (continuing + discontinued) €0.80 -€1.54 ✅ swung positive, same driver
Cash flow from operating activities -€53.1M ~-$61.4M -€79.0M ✅ outflow narrowed 32.8%
Free cash flow (proxy: OCF less capex)* -€70.1M ~-$81.1M -€87.5M ✅ outflow narrowed
Cash and cash equivalents (period-end) €666.2M ~$770.3M €305.8M ✅ +117.9%

*Delivery Hero doesn't report free cash flow» as a defined metric; the figure above is operating cash flow less capex - payments for property, plant and equipment (-€10.7M) and intangible assets (-€6.3M) in H1 2018.

Balance sheet Jun 30, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Change
Total assets €2,150.9M €2,048.2M ✅ +5.0%
Total equity €1,835.8M €1,720.8M ✅ +6.7%
Total liabilities €315.1M €327.4M ✅ -3.8%

The operating and net-loss lines moved in opposite directions from H1 2017's pattern: last year, adjusted EBITDA improved while the GAAP operating and net losses widened (mostly on the one-time share-based compensation reclassification tied to the IPO). This half, the operating loss and net result both improved, but for two very different reasons - the operating result narrowed on genuine cost discipline (share-based compensation expense fell from €51.1 million to €11.7 million, a real second consecutive year-over-year drop now that the IPO-era reclassification is fully behind the company), while the net result swing is almost entirely the hungryhouse gain. A first-time adoption of IFRS 15 also changed how revenue itself is measured this half: starting January 1, 2018, discounts and vouchers given to users are deducted directly from revenue rather than booked as a marketing expense, as they had been through 2017. Delivery Hero didn't restate the H1 2017 comparative for this change, so the reported 38.1% revenue growth is measured on two different bases - €16.9 million of discounts are already netted out of the H1 2018 figure but not the H1 2017 one, meaning true underlying revenue growth on a like-for-like accounting basis is a touch higher than the headline 38.1% suggests (see Beyond the Usual).

Adjusted EBITDA margin, operating loss, and net result all improved this half - but only one of those three improvements (the operating loss) reflects the business actually running better; the Adjusted EBITDA loss widened in absolute terms, and the net profit is a one-time asset sale, not operating performance.

Key Operational Metrics

Actual reported figures unless noted; take-rate is derived (revenue ÷ GMV), not separately disclosed this quarter

Metric H1 2018 H1 2017 YoY
Orders 183.7M 126.0M (India-excluded LfL basis) ✅ +45.8%
GMV» €2,358.7M €1,723.4M (India-excluded LfL basis) ✅ +36.9% (+50.0% constant currency»)
Implied take-rate (revenue ÷ GMV) 14.4% 14.3% Roughly flat
Employees (headcount, period-end) 18,070 14,631 (Dec 2017) ✅ +23.5%

The Euro's appreciation against several operating-market currencies - most notably the Turkish Lira and Argentinian Peso - meaningfully softened both the GMV and revenue growth rates on a reported-currency basis relative to the constant-currency figures; the 50.0% constant-currency GMV growth versus 36.9% reported is one of the widest reported-vs-constant-currency gaps in the company's short public history, and the report itself flags renewed Lira weakness after the period closed as something management is "closely monitoring." Headcount growth (23.5%) continues to run well behind order growth (45.8%), the same operating-leverage pattern on delivery-personnel hiring seen in both prior periods, not a new development this half.

Segment Results

H1 2018, four reportable segments (geographic regions), unchanged since the IPO

Delivery Hero reports four regional segments: Europe (its home market, led by Germany), MENA (Middle East and North Africa), Asia, and Americas.

Segment Revenue (H1'18) YoY Adj. EBITDA (H1'18) Adj. EBITDA margin H1'17 margin
Europe €116.2M ✅ +21.6% -€27.8M -24.0% -26.7%
MENA €123.3M ✅ +97.9% €9.0M +7.3% +24.8%
Asia €87.8M ✅ +30.8% -€18.0M -20.4% -36.0%
Americas €29.6M ✅ +37.2% -€18.0M -61.0% -51.1%

MENA's margin decline, flagged as a mid-2017 reversal in the FY2017 post, hasn't stabilized - it's continued sliding for a third straight half. The segment's margin sequence now reads 24.8% (H1'17) → 9.2% (H2'17, derived) → 7.3% (H1'18): a region that used to be Delivery Hero's clearest profit engine has gone from generating a quarter of its revenue as profit to essentially breaking even, even as its revenue keeps growing fastest of any segment (+97.9% YoY, more than any other region). Asia moved the opposite way, continuing the improvement seen across FY2017 - its margin improved roughly 16 points YoY to -20.4%, the largest single-segment improvement of the half, driven by strong growth in Korea and Singapore plus higher non-commission (delivery-fee) revenue. Europe's margin also improved slightly. Americas is the one segment that kept getting worse on every measure, its margin deepening to -61.0% of revenue from -51.1% a year earlier - now the worst margin of any segment in the company's history, a genuine deterioration rather than the "narrowing loss" pattern the other three regions show. See Beyond the Usual for the mechanics behind MENA's continued slide.

Beyond the Usual

The reported net profit is a one-time asset sale, not a turnaround

Delivery Hero's €146.7 million net result for the half breaks down as a €115.7 million continuing-operations loss plus a €262.5 million gain on the January 2018 hungryhouse divestment. The gain alone is nearly double the entire "profit," meaning the continuing business - the part of Delivery Hero that will still exist next quarter - lost money throughout the period covered by this "profitable" headline number. Nothing in the report actively hides this; the discontinued-operations line is disclosed plainly in the P&L. But a reader relying on the top-line net-result figure without checking its composition would draw the wrong conclusion about whether the underlying business has become profitable.

Delivery Hero's first-ever net profit is not evidence the core business turned profitable - it is a €262.5 million one-time gain from selling a subsidiary, sitting on top of a continuing-operations loss that, while narrower than a year earlier, is still €115.7 million deep.

A five-market retreat announced weeks after a nine-figure Latin American entry

As a subsequent event, Delivery Hero disclosed plans (announced August 2, 2018, after this period's June 30 close but before the report's September 11 authorization date) to divest its operations in Brazil, Australia, France, Italy, and the Netherlands, with Brazil and Italy already reclassified as held-for-sale on this period's own balance sheet and a related €3.5 million goodwill impairment already booked in H1 2018. This is a meaningfully larger simultaneous retreat than anything disclosed in either prior post - and it lands just seven months after Delivery Hero committed €93.2 million to a minority stake in Rappi, a Latin American platform operating in several of the same broader markets Delivery Hero is now exiting or winding down elsewhere. Both moves may individually be sound capital allocation, but the report frames the divestments purely as "M&A strategy" execution without acknowledging the apparent tension with the same half's largest single investment.

Delivery Hero is simultaneously retreating from five markets and expanding into Latin America through a large minority stake - a genuine strategic tension the report doesn't address, even though both decisions were made within the same six months.

A second consecutive change to how "like-for-like" is defined

This report's like-for-like (LfL) comparisons exclude the disposed India operations (roughly €2.3-2.6 million of quarterly revenue through 2017); the FY2017 report's LfL comparisons instead adjusted for including the foodpanda acquisition throughout the base period. These are two different, non-comparable adjustments both labeled "like-for-like" across consecutive reports, for two different reasons entirely (a completed acquisition inclusion in one case, a completed disposal exclusion in the other). Neither is improper - both are clearly footnoted - but a reader tracking "like-for-like growth" across periods as if it were one consistent metric would be comparing numbers built on different bases without realizing it.

Separately, the first-time adoption of IFRS 15 moved discounts and vouchers from a marketing-expense line into a direct deduction from revenue, with no restatement of the H1 2017 comparative - meaning the reported 38.1% revenue growth this half is measured against a base that hadn't yet had discounts netted out of it, while the current period has (see Key Financial Metrics above).

Delivery Hero has now used the term "like-for-like" for two consecutive reports with two different underlying adjustments, and it separately changed how revenue itself is measured (net of discounts under IFRS 15) without restating the prior comparative - three distinct comparability quirks in one filing that a reader tracking trends across reports needs to know about.

A new four-year incentive plan replaced the one restructured a year earlier

In May 2018, Delivery Hero introduced a new long-term incentive program (LTIP) awarding shares and options tied to a revenue-based performance target measured over a four-year period, replacing the compensation structure whose one-time restructuring cost drove the large share-based compensation swings flagged in both prior posts. The new plan contributed €2.7 million of expense in its first two months - a modest start, but worth tracking given how much the prior program's mechanics distorted year-over-year comparisons in 2017.

A logistics-startup stake in the same market as a legacy compensation dispute

Delivery Hero took a €10.1 million minority stake in Barogo, a South Korean logistics company, during this half - the same market as RGP Korea, whose put-option liability on minority shares was already fully resolved back in FY2017 (per the FY2017 post). Separately from that settled put option, this report discloses that a majority of RGP Korea's own cash-settled employee share-based payment awards were exercised in this half, releasing €12.8 million of provisions - an unrelated instrument tied to Korean-subsidiary staff compensation rather than the earlier ownership dispute. Between untangling one ownership-related liability last year and now unwinding a separate compensation liability this year, Korea has generated a disproportionate share of Delivery Hero's footnote-level complexity relative to its size as a market.

The Rappi stake grew again just after period-end

Delivery Hero's €93.2 million Rappi investment (the January 2018 transaction previewed as a subsequent event in the FY2017 post) was followed by participation in a further Rappi financing round on September 7, 2018 - after this period's close but before the report's authorization - with Delivery Hero maintaining roughly a 20% stake. The company is treating Rappi as an ongoing position to be topped up as it raises capital, not a one-time minority investment left to dilute on its own.

Target Valuation Range

The market is implying an enterprise value of roughly €7.75 billion, or ~10.1x forward FY2018 revenue guidance (1.6x annualized GMV) - the market has re-rated Delivery Hero meaningfully higher over the past year, pricing in continued top-line growth rather than the operating losses still showing up in every reporting period. Against a business that just posted its first "profit" only because of a one-time asset sale, the valuation still requires taking the growth story on faith - the P&L underneath it hasn't caught up. No comparable public peer exists yet and a real DCF still isn't attempted (see below), so this EV/Revenue read is the numeric anchor this post can offer.

Delivery Hero SE closed the last trading day before this period's June 30, 2018 end (Friday, June 29, 2018) at €45.58 per share. With approximately 184,500,000 shares outstanding at period-end (subscribed capital of €184.5 million at €1.00 nominal value per share, up from 182,498,900 shares at December 31, 2017, after H1 2018 stock-option exercises), and period-end cash of €666.2 million against interest-bearing debt of essentially just €3.1 million of finance lease payables (non-current and current combined - the Group carries no bank debt following 2017's IPO-triggered repayment):

Market cap → enterprise value H1 2018
Share price (period-end) €45.58
Shares outstanding ~184,500,000
Market capitalization €8.41B (~$9.72B)
Total liabilities (finance leases) ~€3.1M
Less: cash and equivalents €666.2M
Enterprise value ~€7.75B (~$8.96B)
Peer-multiple sanity check FY2017 H1 2018 Change
Revenue basis FY2017 actual FY2018 guidance midpoint, €770M -
Enterprise value ~€5.40B ~€7.75B ⚠️ up
EV/Revenue ~9.9x (trailing actual) ~10.1x (forward guidance) - not a direct like-for-like comparison (trailing vs. forward basis), but directionally consistent with a share price that's climbed 38.1% since then against revenue guidance that's grown more slowly
EV/GMV ~1.4x (FY actual) ~1.6x (H1 annualized) ⚠️ up

No directly comparable food-delivery peer has been covered on this site yet, so a peer-multiple sanity check against another public delivery marketplace isn't possible for this post.

The share price moved meaningfully across this reporting period and the roughly two years of public trading history available since the June 2017 IPO: from the €27.80 IPO-day close, it rose to a €33.00 close at the end of 2017, then continued climbing through H1 2018 to close at €45.58 on June 29, 2018 - up 64.0% from the IPO price and up 38.1% from the December 31, 2017 close, tracking the same period the revenue and order growth numbers above cover, not a divergent story. Delivery Hero has not split its stock since the IPO, so these are the actual nominal prices quoted at the time, not retroactively adjusted figures.

A real DCF still isn't attempted here, for the same underlying reason flagged in both prior posts: a company still posting continuing-operations losses, now guiding to an Adjusted EBITDA margin the report itself says will be "noticeably higher" (worse) than 2017's, doesn't give a cash-flow base worth projecting forward yet.

A headline that says "first profit" and a P&L that says "still losing €115.7 million" can't both be the real story - and this half, the second one is the one that matters, because the €262.5 million that made the difference walked out the door with hungryhouse and isn't coming back next quarter.


Delivery Hero SE's Half-Year Report 2018 (unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and interim group management report as of and for the six months ended June 30, 2018, prepared by the Executive Board September 11, 2018) and its H1 2018 Results presentation (dated September 13, 2018), via Delivery Hero's investor relations page.