A Real Annual Profit, Finally - With Two Large Asterisks
For the first time since its 2017 IPO, Delivery Hero closed a full fiscal year with a net profit: €230.2 million for 2019, versus a €42.2 million loss in 2018. Unlike the H1 2018 and H1 2019 "profits" that both evaporated once their one-time gains were stripped out, this one at least survived the full year - but it's built the same way. The €930.1 million gain from closing the German business sale to Takeaway.com (first disclosed as a subsequent event at FY2018, completed April 1, 2019) is more than four times the entire reported profit. Strip it out, and continuing operations lost €689.9 million for the year - nearly two and a half times the €277.1 million continuing-operations loss in 2018, and by far the largest annual loss in Delivery Hero's public history. Gross profit actually fell 10.4% to €311.2 million even as revenue grew 86.1%, because cost-of-sales more than doubled; the gross margin collapsed from 52.2% to 25.1% of revenue, driven by the accelerating rollout of own-delivery and dark stores. Every segment's Adjusted EBITDA margin got worse for a second straight period (see Segment Results), continuing the across-the-board deterioration first flagged at H1 2019.
The second asterisk is a genuine framing problem, not a one-time item: Delivery Hero's own FY2019 guidance and public communications describe the year's revenue as roughly €1.46 billion - which matches this report's Total Segment Revenue figure of €1,455.7 million almost exactly - while the audited consolidated income statement's actual Revenue line, net of the discounts and vouchers deducted under IFRS 15, is €1,237.6 million, a gap of roughly 17.6%. This is the same gross-versus-net dynamic the Content Creation Playbook treats as a red finding in its own right (see Beyond the Usual), and it's a bigger gap than any prior Delivery Hero report has shown.
The Prescription
Delivery Hero should commit, now that the Woowa Brothers transaction (announced December 13, 2019, roughly USD 4.0 billion for approximately 88% of South Korea's leading food-delivery platform) is pending, to integrating it as an operating consolidation rather than another minority stake to be managed passively. Unlike Rappi and Glovo, Woowa would be a controlling acquisition in a market (Korea) Delivery Hero already partly understands through its RGP Korea and Barogo positions - the company should use that existing local knowledge rather than treating this as just a larger version of its portfolio-investment approach.
What it should stop doing is letting its own headline communications quote Total Segment Revenue as "revenue" without a clear, equally prominent statement of the net figure. The 17.6% gap between the two this year is large enough, and the trend (a growing share of revenue now coming through delivery fees and discounts rather than clean commissions) means the gap is structural, not a rounding artifact - a company that's about to add a major new market through the Woowa deal should fix this framing before its revenue base gets even larger and harder to reconcile.
Key Financial Metrics
FY2019 vs. FY2018, continuing operations unless noted, reported in EUR (FY2019 also shown in USD)
FX: EUR 1 = USD 1.1234 (December 30, 2019 close, the last trading day before this period's December 31, 2019 end).
| Metric | FY2019 (EUR) | FY2019 (USD) | FY2018 (EUR) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (net of discounts, IFRS 15) | €1,237.6M | ~$1,390.4M | €665.1M | ✅ +86.1% |
| Gross profit | €311.2M | ~$349.6M | €347.2M | ⚠️ -10.4% |
| Adjusted EBITDA (total segments) | -€430.9M | ~-$484.0M | -€100.2M | ⚠️ loss more than quadrupled |
| Operating result (EBIT) | -€648.0M | ~-$727.9M | -€241.7M | ⚠️ loss widened >100% |
| Net result (incl. discontinued operations) | €230.2M | ~$258.6M | -€42.2M | ✅ first full-year profit, almost entirely the Takeaway.com gain, see above |
| Diluted/basic EPS (continued + discontinued) | €1.22 | — | -€0.21 | ✅ swung positive, same driver |
| Cash flow from operating activities | -€364.8M | ~-$409.8M | -€164.6M | ⚠️ outflow more than doubled |
| Free cash flow (proxy: OCF less capex)* | -€459.9M | ~-$516.6M | -€213.9M | ⚠️ outflow more than doubled |
| Cash and cash equivalents (period-end) | €699.4M | ~$785.7M | €439.8M | ✅ +59.0% |
*Delivery Hero doesn't report free cash flow as a defined metric; the figure above is operating cash flow less capex - payments for property, plant and equipment (-€69.2M) and intangible assets (-€25.9M).
| Balance sheet | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total assets | €2,672.7M | €2,005.0M | ✅ +33.3% |
| Total equity | €1,869.5M | €1,615.0M | ✅ +15.8% |
| Total liabilities | €803.3M | €389.9M | ⚠️ +106.1% |
Net result of €230.2 million splits into €231.4 million attributable to shareholders of the parent and -€1.1 million to non-controlling interests. Adjusted EBITDA's much larger absolute loss (-€430.9 million) versus 2018 (-€100.2 million) reflects the aggressive marketing and own-delivery investment discussed throughout this report, not a one-time item - unlike the net result line above it.
Delivery Hero's first full-year profit and its worst-ever full-year operating loss are the same fiscal year: €230.2 million net profit sits directly on top of a €689.9 million continuing-operations loss, with a €930.1 million one-time gain as the only bridge between them.
Key Operational Metrics
Actual reported figures unless noted
| Metric | FY2019 | FY2018 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orders | 666.0M | 369.4M | ✅ +80.3% |
| GMV» | €7,435.5M | €4,454.4M | ✅ +66.9% |
| Total Segment Revenue | €1,455.7M | €686.9M* | ✅ +111.9% |
| Employees (headcount, period-end) | 24,617 | 20,608 | ✅ +19.5% |
*This period's own report restates FY2018's Total Segment Revenue on an ex-Germany basis (€686.9 million) for comparability with 2019, which excludes the German business sold in April 2019 - different from the €792.4 million total segment revenue (including Germany) reported in the FY2018 post. Order growth (80.3%) again runs behind GMV (66.9%) and well behind Total Segment Revenue growth (111.9%), the widest gap between these three growth rates in the company's reporting history, reflecting both the rebate/voucher increase (from €41.0 million to €225.3 million) and the growing delivery-fee revenue share.
Segment Results
FY2019, four reportable segments (geographic regions), German business fully excluded following its April 2019 sale
| Segment | Revenue (FY19) | YoY | Adj. EBITDA (FY19) | Adj. EBITDA margin | FY18 margin (ex-Germany basis) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MENA | €716.6M | ✅ +126.5% | €43.3M | +6.0% | +5.7% |
| Asia | €455.5M | ✅ +136.6% | -€312.2M | -68.5% | -27.0% |
| Europe | €173.2M | ✅ +49.4% | -€19.0M | -11.0% | -13.3% |
| Americas | €110.4M | ✅ +77.8% | -€143.0M | -129.5% | -81.9% |
MENA is the one bright spot, and the only segment whose margin improved rather than worsened, though it still landed well below the €70 million Adjusted EBITDA management had guided to at the start of the year - the report attributes the shortfall to higher costs from a third-party logistics change at Hungerstation (Saudi Arabia) and the integration of the newly acquired Zomato UAE business. Asia's deterioration is now the most severe of any segment in Delivery Hero's history: its Adjusted EBITDA loss widened from -€51.9 million to -€312.2 million, a swing large enough on its own to explain most of the Group's total Adjusted EBITDA decline, driven by the accelerated rollout of dark stores and heavier rebate spending flagged at H1 2019. Europe is the only segment showing genuine improvement in percentage terms (margin improved from -13.3% to -11.0%) - management notes the segment reached breakeven for the single month of December 2019, the first sign of the "expected to break even" guidance from the FY2018 post actually materializing, even if only briefly. Americas remains the worst-margin segment for a fifth consecutive period covered on this site, deepening further to -129.5%.
Beyond the Usual
Guidance and public communications describe a bigger "revenue" than the audited P&L does
Delivery Hero's FY2019 revenue guidance (raised through the year to a final range of €1.44-1.48 billion) and the Total Segment Revenue figure this report highlights prominently (€1,455.7 million, +111.9%) both describe a materially larger number than the audited consolidated income statement's actual Revenue line, which is €1,237.6 million net of €225.3 million of discounts and vouchers deducted under IFRS 15. The gap - roughly 17.6% of the smaller number - is the widest of any period covered on this site, and it isn't disclosed as a discrepancy anywhere in the headline commentary; a reader has to reach the segment-revenue reconciliation table deep in the management report to see both figures side by side and understand why they differ.
Delivery Hero's own guidance and public framing describe 2019 revenue as roughly €1.46 billion, a Total Segment Revenue figure that is gross of the discounts and vouchers the audited income statement deducts to arrive at the real €1,237.6 million Revenue line - a 17.6% gap that isn't reconciled anywhere in the report's own narrative sections, only in a segment table a reader has to find.
A near-USD 4 billion acquisition financed partly by a deal-contingent FX hedge
As a subsequent event, Delivery Hero disclosed a December 13, 2019 agreement to acquire approximately 88% of Woowa Brothers Corp., South Korea's leading food-delivery platform, for up to roughly USD 4.0 billion in cash and new Delivery Hero shares - by far the largest transaction in the company's history, more than four times the size of the Takeaway.com German business sale. To hedge the USD-denominated cash consideration before the deal even closes, Delivery Hero entered into a deal-contingent USD/EUR option, with a €44.8 million premium already recognized as a current financial liability at year-end - meaning the company is already carrying real cash cost for a transaction that may not close until the second half of 2020 and remains subject to Korean Fair Trade Commission approval.
Delivery Hero is carrying a €44.8 million already-paid premium on a currency hedge for a nearly USD 4 billion acquisition that hasn't closed and remains subject to South Korean antitrust clearance - a real, current cash cost tied to a deal whose completion isn't yet certain.
Delivery Hero is now transacting commercially with its own minority investments
This report's related-party disclosures show Delivery Hero Group paying Barogo Co. Ltd. (the South Korean logistics company it took a minority stake in during 2018, per the H1 2018 post) €2.1 million for logistics and marketing services in 2019, and separately recording €1.5 million of expenses from an asset transaction with GlovoApp Chile Spa (part of the Glovo group Delivery Hero has been steadily increasing its stake in since 2018). Neither amount is large enough to move the numbers, but it's the first time this site has seen Delivery Hero disclosed as both an investor in, and a commercial counterparty of, the same minority-stake companies in the same reporting period - worth watching for whether the commercial relationships grow alongside the equity stakes.
Rider classification risk shows up in the contingent-liabilities footnote
The pension and other-provisions footnote discloses contingent liabilities from legal disputes and tax contingencies of €1.4 million (2018: €0.2 million), specifically citing "obligations with regard to the social security status of riders as well as legal disputes" - a direct, if small in disclosed euro terms, acknowledgment of the gig-economy worker-classification risk facing food-delivery platforms globally. The amount is immaterial today, but a sevenfold year-over-year increase in a category explicitly tied to rider employment status, disclosed the same year Delivery Hero's own headcount and delivery-fleet size grew nearly 20%, is worth tracking as own-delivery scales further.
A goodwill and trademark base now dominated by three years of acquisitions
Intangible assets grew to €1,046.7 million (2018: €878.0 million), and the scope-of-consolidation note shows the Group added 25 subsidiaries during 2019 (2018: 15) while disposing of or liquidating 17 (2018: 27) - a faster pace of acquisition than any prior year covered on this site, ahead of the much larger Woowa transaction still to come. The February 2019 Zomato UAE acquisition alone carried a total consideration of €187.4 million, including a €30.8 million deferred payment and up to €38.7 million of contingent, performance-based consideration - a more complex earn-out structure than any Delivery Hero acquisition disclosed in either prior post, and one whose eventual payout will only be confirmed in a future filing.
Target Valuation Range
The market is implying an enterprise value of roughly €12.80 billion - ~10.3x trailing FY2019 net revenue, or ~8.8x on the company's own favored Total Segment Revenue figure (1.72x trailing GMV) - the market has re-rated Delivery Hero sharply higher over 2019 - the share price is up 117% year-over-year - pricing in the growth story and the pending Korean consolidation, not the year's actual continuing-operations loss, which nearly tripled. This is a valuation that requires both the growth and the Woowa integration to work, with very little room for either to disappoint. No comparable public peer exists yet and a real DCF still isn't attempted (see below), so these EV/Revenue reads are the numeric anchors this post can offer.
Delivery Hero SE closed the last trading day before this period's December 31, 2019 end (Monday, December 30, 2019) at €70.56 per share. With 188,744,039 shares outstanding at period-end (subscribed capital of €188,755,039 in no-par value bearer shares, up from 185,930,494 shares at December 31, 2018), and period-end cash of €699.4 million against €185.4 million of non-current liabilities (long-term lease liabilities under IFRS 16, acquisition earnouts, and deferred tax liabilities - not conventional bank debt, but treated here as debt-like for a conservative estimate, consistent with the H1 2019 post's methodology):
| Market cap → enterprise value | FY2019 |
|---|---|
| Share price (period-end) | €70.56 |
| Shares outstanding | 188,744,039 |
| Market capitalization | €13.32B (~$14.96B) |
| Total liabilities (non-current, incl. IFRS 16 leases) | ~€185.4M |
| Less: cash and equivalents | €699.4M |
| Enterprise value | ~€12.80B (~$14.38B) |
| Peer-multiple sanity check | H1 2019 | FY2019 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue basis | H1 2019 annualized | FY2019 actual (net revenue €1,237.6M / Total Segment Revenue €1,455.7M) | - |
| Enterprise value | ~€6.93B | ~€12.80B | ⚠️ up sharply |
| EV/Revenue | ~6.8x (annualized) | ~10.3x (net revenue, trailing) / ~8.8x (Total Segment Revenue) | ⚠️ up |
| EV/GMV | ~1.09x (H1 annualized) | ~1.72x (FY actual) | ⚠️ up, the first increase in this multiple across the periods covered on this site |
Note: the gap between the ~10.3x net-revenue multiple and the ~8.8x Total-Segment-Revenue multiple is precisely the kind of distortion the gross-vs-net gap in Beyond the Usual creates for anyone valuing the company off the headline number rather than the audited P&L. No directly comparable food-delivery peer has been covered on this site yet, so a peer-multiple sanity check against another public delivery marketplace isn't possible for this post.
The share price moved dramatically across this reporting period: from €32.50 at December 31, 2018, it drifted through the low €30s-to-€40s range for most of the year before a sharp rally in the final quarter, from €42.03 in October to €70.56 by December 30 - a 117.1% gain for the full year, and by far the largest single-year move Delivery Hero's stock has made since its June 2017 IPO. The timing lines up with the Woowa Brothers announcement (December 13, 2019), suggesting the market re-rated the stock primarily on the strength of that pending Korean acquisition rather than on the full-year operating results, which were still deteriorating on every continuing-operations measure. Delivery Hero has not split its stock since its IPO, so these remain the actual nominal prices quoted at the time.
A real DCF still isn't attempted here, for the same underlying reason flagged in every prior post: continuing-operations losses nearly tripled this year rather than stabilizing, and a business about to add a nearly USD 4 billion acquisition, still pending regulatory approval, doesn't offer a cash-flow base that can be projected with any real confidence yet. The 117% share-price re-rating this year is itself best read as a reverse-DCF signal - the market is pricing in the Woowa integration succeeding and Asia's Adjusted EBITDA losses (which just widened sixfold) eventually turning around, not confirmation that either has actually happened.
A profit that finally survived a full fiscal year is real progress over the two false starts in H1 2018 and H1 2019 - but it's still a €930 million one-time gain sitting on top of the company's worst-ever operating loss, in the same year its own guidance quoted a revenue number 17.6% higher than what its audited statements actually show.
Delivery Hero SE's Annual Report 2019 (audited consolidated financial statements and combined management report for the year ended December 31, 2019, authorized by the Management Board April 22, 2020), via Delivery Hero's investor relations page. No separate FY2019/Q4 2019 results presentation could be located for this period despite a genuine search of Delivery Hero's investor relations site and archived materials; the annual report's own management discussion and consolidated financial statements are used as the primary source throughout.