Q4 2021 · IDX · Mar 18, 2022

ARTO A First Annual Profit, Mostly Manufactured By a Tax Credit

Bank Jago closed FY2021 with its first-ever full year of net profit (Rp86 billion) after three straight loss-making years, but pre-tax income was only Rp9.1 billion - the rest came from a deferred tax asset the bank explicitly refused to recognize a year earlier, and the related-party current-account concentration this backfill flagged as easing last quarter snapped back to 80% in the same twelve months.

A Full Year in the Black, On Paper

Three straight annual losses ended in FY2021: Bank Jago posted net income of Rp86.0 billion for the year, its first-ever profitable full year since Jerry Ng and Sugito Walujo took control in December 2019. Q3 2021 was the bank's first profitable quarter; Q4 2021 followed with net profit of approximately Rp119 billion standalone, carrying the cumulative nine-month loss into full-year profit.

Except that's not quite where the profit came from. Income before tax for the full year was Rp9.1 billion - a real, if modest, operating result, and genuinely the first positive annual pre-tax number this bank has ever produced. The other Rp76.9 billion of the Rp86.0 billion net income figure is a deferred tax asset the bank recognized for the first time this year, against Rp227.6 billion of unutilized tax losses still sitting on its books from 2019 and 2020. A year earlier, auditing the same tax-loss pool, the bank's own notes said there was "doubt on the availability of future taxable income to be utilised" and recognized nothing. Nothing changed about that judgment call except one profitable quarter (Q3) and the bank's own forecast - the loss pool itself didn't shrink through repayment, it shrank because Rp51.0 billion of it got used against this year's own taxable income, and management decided the remaining Rp227.6 billion was now likely enough to be usable to book as an asset. That's a legitimate accounting judgment, not a fabrication - but it means roughly 89% of the year's headline net income is a non-cash tax-accounting decision, not operating income the bank actually collected in cash this year (see Beyond the Usual).

The underlying business kept doing what it's done every quarter of this backfill: the loan book (including a new Sharia financing line, see below) grew 491% YoY to Rp5.37 trillion, deposits grew 357% to Rp3.68 trillion, and net interest and Sharia income grew 812% YoY to Rp589.7 billion. The bank also launched its Sharia banking unit in September 2021 and, in December, was granted a license to operate as an RDN»-partner bank for stock-investment accounts - a second ecosystem hook (alongside Gojek/GoPay) aimed at Indonesia's young retail-investing boom.

The Prescription

Keep building the Sharia unit and the securities-account partnerships (RDN) - both are genuine new distribution surfaces layered on top of the same underwriting and funding infrastructure, not a second balance sheet to manage, and both extend Bank Jago's reach into demographics (observant Muslim savers, first-time retail investors) the Gojek-ecosystem lending channel alone doesn't naturally capture.

What it should stop doing: presenting the deferred tax credit and operating income as if they're the same kind of "profit." A reader skimming the headline Rp86 billion net income figure has no way to know, without opening the tax note, that 89% of it is an accounting entry rather than cash the bank earned running its business this year. The operating story - a real, if small, Rp9.1 billion pre-tax profit after three years of widening losses - is a genuinely good one on its own merits. Dressing it up with a one-time tax credit doesn't make the underlying inflection look any more real; it just makes next year's like-for-like comparison harder, since FY2022 won't get to book the same first-time recognition again.

Key Financial Metrics

FY 2021 vs. FY 2020 - PT Bank Jago Tbk, consolidated, audited

FX: IDR 14,285.2 = USD 1 (December 31, 2021 close); IDR 13,833.0 = USD 1 (December 31, 2020 close, used for FY20 conversions).

Metric FY 2021 (IDR) FY 2021 (USD) FY 2020 (IDR) YoY
Net interest and Sharia income ("Net Revenue" equivalent) Rp589,738M ~$41.28M Rp64,644M ✅ +812.5%
Other operating income Rp44,129M ~$3.09M Rp25,126M ✅ +75.6%
Provision for impairment losses -Rp92,346M -~$6.46M -Rp38,132M ⚠️ +142.2%, tracking loan book growth
Total other operating expenses -Rp623,364M -~$43.64M -Rp275,501M ⚠️ +126.2%
Operating income/(loss) Rp10,503M ~$0.74M -Rp185,731M ✅ First-ever full-year operating profit
Income before income tax Rp9,134M ~$0.64M -Rp189,567M ✅ First-ever full-year pre-tax profit
Deferred tax benefit Rp76,890M ~$5.38M Rp0M ⚠️ First-ever recognition (see Beyond the Usual)
Net income/(loss) for the year Rp86,024M ~$6.02M -Rp189,567M ✅ First-ever full-year net profit
Earnings/(loss) per share (full amount) Rp6.48 ~$0.0005 -Rp22.49 ✅ First-ever positive EPS
Net cash used in operating activities -Rp3,786,538M -~$265.07M -Rp327,182M ⚠️ Larger cash use - capital deployment, not a burn
Total cash and cash equivalents (period-end) Rp1,418,471M ~$99.30M Rp447,506M ✅ +217.0% YoY; ⚠️ down from Rp2,478,563M at Sep 2021

The operating cash-flow line is the same story as every prior quarter: a bank redeploying fresh capital into loans, securities, and reverse repos, not a going-concern signal. Cash and equivalents actually fell from Rp2.48 trillion at September to Rp1.42 trillion at year-end as more of the balance sheet moved into loans (net loans and Sharia financing grew from Rp3.56 trillion to Rp5.24 trillion in the quarter alone) - deployment, not depletion, since Total Assets and Equity both kept growing. Operating income/loss (above) is the equivalent measure for a bank.

Balance sheet metric Dec 2021 (IDR) Dec 2021 (USD) Dec 2020 (IDR) YoY
Total Assets Rp12,312,422M ~$861.90M Rp2,179,873M ✅ +464.8%
Loans and Sharia financing (net) Rp5,241,783M ~$366.94M Rp826,203M ✅ +534.5%
Third-Party Funds (deposits) Rp3,677,572M ~$257.44M Rp803,946M ✅ +357.4%
Total Liabilities Rp3,952,606M ~$276.69M Rp947,540M ⚠️ +317.1%
Temporary Sharia (Syirkah) Funds Rp110,361M ~$7.73M Rp0M New this year - a Sharia-banking balance sheet category, not debt or equity
Total Equity Rp8,249,455M ~$577.48M Rp1,232,333M ✅ +569.4%

The number a reader remembers from this quarter shouldn't be "Bank Jago turned profitable" without the asterisk: the operating result alone (Rp9.1 billion pre-tax) is the real inflection; the Rp86 billion headline is that same small number plus a one-time accounting credit that won't repeat next year on the same terms.

Key Operational Metrics

  • CASA ratio»: ~45.6% (Dec 2021, Rp1,677bn of Rp3,678bn total deposits) vs. 38.7% (Sep 2021) vs. 27.2% (Dec 2020) - continuing to improve every quarter, though still well below BCA's ~77% in its Q1 2016 quarter.
  • Loan-to-Deposit Ratio»: 145.9% (Dec 2021) vs. 146.6% (Sep 2021) vs. 111.1% (Dec 2020) - essentially flat quarter over quarter after three quarters of steady increases, still well above 100% and funded by the bank's still-large excess capital rather than deposits alone.
  • NIM» (blended): 7.4% (FY 2021) vs. 6.1% (9M 2021) vs. 4.7% (FY 2020) - continuing to climb as more of the balance sheet sits in loans rather than treasury assets.
  • NIM (loans only): 16.1% (FY 2021) vs. 13.6% (9M 2021) - a strong loan yield, consistent with an ecosystem-lending book that isn't competing on price with conventional retail credit.
  • NPL»: 0.58% gross / 0.04% net (Dec 2021) vs. 0.59%/0.14% (Sep 2021) vs. 0.00%/0.00% (Dec 2020) - gross NPL essentially unchanged from last quarter, meaning the first-ever defaults flagged three months ago haven't yet worsened; net NPL actually improved as impairment coverage against those bad loans increased. "Special mention" loans (the earliest-stage watchlist category) grew to Rp284.7 billion combined across the conventional and Sharia books, up from Rp35.9 billion a year ago - continuing to outgrow the loan book itself, the same pattern flagged since the 1H2021 post.
  • CAR»: 169.9% (Dec 2021) vs. 224.2% (Sep 2021) vs. 91.4% (Dec 2020) - still falling every quarter as capital gets deployed into risk-weighted loans, but nearly 17x OJK's 10% minimum.
  • ROE»: 1.3% (FY 2021) vs. -18.0% (FY 2020) - the first full-year positive return on equity, though on a Rp8.2 trillion equity base that's still barely earning anything; ROA»: 0.1% (FY 2021) vs. -11.3% (FY 2020).
  • Cost-to-Income»: 89% (FY 2021) vs. 357% (FY 2020) - a dramatic full-year improvement, though it moved up slightly in Q4 standalone (73% in Q4 vs. 82% in Q3), the first quarter this ratio hasn't improved sequentially since Q3 2021's first sub-100% print.
  • Cost of Funds (end of period): 3.2% (Dec 2021) vs. 3.3% (Sep 2021) vs. 4.5% (Dec 2020) - falling every quarter as CASA share improves.
  • Loan mix: gross loans and Sharia financing totaled Rp5.37 trillion at year-end, up from Rp3.73 trillion at September - but "partnership and ecosystem lending" alone shows as falling to Rp2.81 trillion from Rp3.28 trillion, purely because Rp2.05 trillion of that book was reclassified into a new Sharia financing line following the Sharia unit's September launch, not because ecosystem lending actually contracted (see Beyond the Usual). Financial-institution lending rebounded to Rp400 billion from Rp300 billion in September, reversing last quarter's flagged decline (see Beyond the Usual). The legacy Bank Artos portfolio kept shrinking, to Rp116 billion from Rp144 billion in September.
  • Headcount: 386 total employees at 31 December 2021 (371 permanent, up 45.5% from 255 permanent a year earlier), a 51.4% increase in total headcount - in line with the Sharia unit launch and continued digital-banking build-out.
  • Branch network: one non-operational head office, three branches (up from two), two sub-branches (down from three), and no cash office (closed during the year) - the net addition is the new Sharia branch, an implant inside the existing BSD City branch.
  • Not available as a clean 31 December figure in the audited statements: the company's own presentation cites 1.4 million KYC-verified customers "as of" the presentation date rather than the reporting date itself - consistent with every prior quarter in this backfill, where user counts are disclosed off-cycle from the financial statements.

Beyond the Usual

The 9M2021 post reported that the bank's first-ever related-party loans - Rp250 billion combined, to PT BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk and PT Trimegah Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk - had fallen to exactly zero by 30 September 2021. By 31 December 2021, a new Rp100 billion working-capital loan to the same related party, PT Trimegah Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk, appears on the books again - 3.01% of the bank's entire conventional loan portfolio. There's no disclosure of why the relationship was reopened so soon after being cleared, and BFI Finance doesn't reappear. This isn't necessarily improper - Trimegah shares common ownership with Bank Jago's own shareholders, and the loan is disclosed exactly as required - but a related-party lending relationship that gets flagged, repaid, and then reopened within one quarter is worth watching for whether it becomes a recurring pattern rather than an isolated one-off.

The Gojek-entity current-account concentration this backfill flagged as easing reversed sharply

The 9M2021 post noted that PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia's share of the bank's current accounts had eased from 90.8% in June to 46.8% in September - a genuine improvement in single-depositor concentration. By 31 December 2021, that same related party's share of current accounts is back up to 80.2% (Rp302.7 billion of a Rp377.4 billion total current-account base), just below the 82.1% level at the end of 2020 and nearly back to where it stood before the September improvement. Whatever drove the third-party current-account growth that produced September's easing didn't carry through the fourth quarter - the underlying concentration risk this backfill has tracked since the very first FY2020 post hasn't structurally improved over a full year, it's oscillated around roughly the same level.

The year's headline profit is mostly a first-time deferred tax asset recognition

Of the Rp86.0 billion net income reported for FY2021, Rp76.9 billion (89%) is a deferred tax benefit recognized for the first time this year against the bank's Rp227.6 billion pool of unutilized tax losses carried forward from 2019 and 2020. A year earlier, covering the identical tax-loss pool, the bank's own notes stated it "did not recognise deferred tax assets, as there is doubt on the availability of future taxable income to be utilised" - and recognized nothing. This year, on the strength of Q3 and Q4's profitability, management judged enough of the previously-unrecognized deferred tax assets probable to book the full Rp76.9 billion benefit. That's a legitimate, disclosed accounting judgment under Indonesian GAAP, not a restatement or an error - but it means income before tax (Rp9.1 billion) is the more honest read of what the business actually earned running its operations this year, and the headline Rp86.0 billion figure won't repeat on the same terms next year, since there's no equivalent first-time recognition left to book.

The bank disclosed its first-ever pending civil litigation

The FY2020 annual report stated plainly that "there are no civil cases that cause contingent liabilities" as of 31 December 2020. The FY2021 report discloses, for the first time, that the bank "has several legal issues which are currently in process at the relevant courts," while stating management's belief that final settlement won't have a significant adverse impact and recording no provision against them. Neither the nature, counterparties, nor amounts involved are disclosed - standard boilerplate language for a bank of this size, but a genuine first for this company, and worth tracking for whether next year's report discloses anything more specific.

The apparent shrinkage in ecosystem lending is a reclassification, not a slowdown

The presentation's own loan-mix chart shows "Partnership & Ecosystem Lending" falling from Rp3.28 trillion at September to Rp2.81 trillion at December, which read in isolation would look like the bank's core growth engine stalling. The footnote explains it: Rp2.05 trillion of loans were converted into the new Sharia financing product line following the Sharia unit's launch in September, moving them into a separate reporting bucket rather than reducing the underlying ecosystem-lending relationship. Combining the two lines, ecosystem-adjacent lending (partnership plus Sharia financing) actually grew across the quarter - a segment-reporting quirk worth knowing before reading the headline chart at face value.

Three smaller footnote items, none of them consequential this quarter

Financial-institution lending, flagged last quarter as an unexplained decline from Rp500 billion to Rp300 billion, rebounded to Rp400 billion by year-end - still below June's level, still unexplained, and still too small a slice of the Rp5.37 trillion loan book (about 7%) to matter yet. Separately, the earliest fiscal-loss tranche (Rp19.3 billion from 2016, due to expire at year-end) was fully used up against 2021's own taxable income rather than lapsing unused, leaving only the 2019 and 2020 tranches (Rp227.6 billion combined) unused. And the bank's entire fair-value-measured securities book (Rp21.5 billion) sits in Level 2 of the fair-value hierarchy - observable market inputs, not Level 1 quoted prices or Level 3 mark-to-model assumptions - an unremarkable but clean read for a bank this young.

Target Valuation Range

Market cap Rp221.7 trillion (~$15.52 billion), ~26.9x P/B, ~2,469x P/E. Bottom line: still priced almost entirely on the story, not the numbers - and the numbers this quarter are murkier than the headline suggests. At roughly 26.9x book value for a bank whose full-year net income is 89% a one-time tax credit, the market is paying an even steeper premium on the same "story keeps developing" logic flagged every prior quarter, on a quarter where the real operating improvement (Rp9.1 billion pre-tax profit) is genuinely encouraging but far smaller than the headline number implies.

Bank Jago's shares closed at approximately Rp16,000 on 30 December 2021, up 6.0% from Rp15,100 three months earlier and up 348.7% from Rp3,566 at the end of 2020 - a calmer year-over-year trajectory than the 167x move the shares made in 2020 itself, but still an enormous re-rating for a bank posting its first annual profit off a tiny base. Measured from the pre-acquisition low of roughly Rp21 in July 2019, the stock is up approximately 762x in a little over two and a half years. No stock split has occurred at any point since - so every price in this post and its predecessors is the actual nominal price quoted on the IDX at the time, not a split-adjusted figure. At 13,856,250,000 shares outstanding (unchanged since the March 2021 rights issue), that implies a market capitalization of approximately Rp221.7 trillion (~$15.52 billion).

Market cap → book value Q4 2021
Share price (period-end) Rp16,000
Shares outstanding 13,856,250,000
Market capitalization Rp221.7 trillion (~$15.52 billion)
Total equity (book value) Rp8,249,455M
Book value per share Rp595.36
Peer-multiple sanity check Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Change
P/B 25.7x 26.9x up
P/E not meaningful 2,469x -

P/B»: ~26.9x, using book value» per share of Rp595.36 (Rp8,249,455M total equity ÷ 13,856,250,000 shares) - up from ~25.7x three months ago. Still more than eight times BCA's ~3.25x book multiple in its Q1 2016 quarter. P/E»: technically positive for the first time (~2,469x, using Rp6.48 EPS), but economically meaningless at that multiple - and even less meaningful once the Rp76.9 billion deferred tax credit (see Beyond the Usual) is stripped out, which would put "clean" EPS closer to Rp0.7 and the implied multiple in the tens of thousands. A full DCF still isn't appropriate here, for the same reason as every prior quarter in this backfill: one year of a genuinely small operating profit, arriving after three straight years of losses, doesn't establish a multi-year earnings trajectory a DCF's terminal-value assumptions could responsibly absorb - and this year's own reported profit is itself mostly a non-recurring accounting item, which would badly distort any earnings-based projection built on it. The honest read stays the peer-multiple one: a ~27x book multiple on a bank whose real pre-tax profit for the year was Rp9.1 billion is priced entirely on the belief that this year's inflection compounds into real, durable earnings power over the next several years - not on anything in FY2021's own numbers that proves it yet.


PT Bank Jago Tbk's audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2021 (with 31 December 2020 comparatives), from its Integrated Annual Report 2021, and the company's "FY 2021 Results Update" investor presentation, dated March 2022.