After 14 Years, Uber's Core Business Turned an Actual GAAP Operating Profit
Uber's Q1 2023 10-Q showed Adjusted EBITDA more than quadrupling and a record $549 million of free cash flow, with net loss narrowed to just $157 million. This quarter crosses a threshold this site has never recorded for Uber before: income from operations was $326 million, positive for the first time in the company's history as a reporting entity, versus a $(713) million loss a year ago. This isn't Adjusted EBITDA or a non-GAAP measure - it's GAAP operating income, the line item that includes depreciation, stock-based compensation, and every other cost Uber's non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA measure excludes. Adjusted EBITDA» was $916 million, up 152% year-over-year, a sixth straight positive quarter and a new high. Six-month free cash flow reached $1,689 million, up from $335 million in the first half of 2022 - a fivefold increase.
Net income attributable to Uber was $394 million, versus a $(2,601) million loss a year ago (see the Q2 2022 post). Unlike the operating-income milestone, this net income figure was aided by the equity-stake mechanism swinging favorable again: a $386 million net pre-tax unrealized gain, driven by a $466 million gain on Aurora, a $225 million gain on Grab, and a $151 million gain on a newly-disclosed Joby Aviation stake, partially offset by a $461 million loss on Didi. Mobility Adjusted EBITDA grew 52% to $1,170 million and Delivery Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled to $329 million from $99 million. The stock rose 36% during the quarter, from $31.70 to $43.17, a third consecutive quarterly gain following Q1 2023's 28% rise (see the 2023-03 post).
The Prescription
This is the single clearest milestone this site has recorded for Uber: a positive GAAP operating profit, unadjusted for stock-based compensation or depreciation, after roughly 14 years of operating losses since the company's 2009 founding. Uber should lead with this fact specifically - not Adjusted EBITDA, which has been positive for six quarters now and is a familiar story, but the GAAP operating income line that skeptics of "adjusted" metrics have been waiting to see turn positive.
What's still worth separating out: net income of $394 million benefited from a $386 million favorable equity-stake swing, without which net income would have been roughly breakeven even with a genuinely positive operating result. Uber's own disclosure keeps these effects clearly broken out, and that discipline should continue - the operating-income milestone stands on its own regardless of which way Didi, Aurora, Grab, or the newly-disclosed Joby stake move next quarter, and conflating the two risks undermining the credibility of the more durable achievement.
Key Financial Metrics
Q2 2023 vs. Q2 2022 - consolidated, reported in USD
| Metric | Q2 2023 | Q2 2022 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9,230M | $8,073M | ✅ +14% |
| Adjusted EBITDA» | $916M | $364M | ✅ +152%, sixth straight positive quarter |
| Income (Loss) from Operations | $326M | $(713)M | ✅ first-ever positive quarter, GAAP basis |
| Net Income (Loss) attributable to Uber | $394M | $(2,601)M | ✅ swung to profit, aided by a $386M net unrealized gain on equity stakes |
| Free Cash Flow (six months) | $1,689M | $335M | ✅ +404% |
Balance sheet: Dec 2022 vs. Jun 2023
| Balance sheet metric | Jun 2023 | Dec 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | $4,995M | $4,208M | ✅ +19% |
| Total Assets | $34,068M | $32,109M | ✅ +6% |
| Total Liabilities | $24,240M | $23,605M | roughly flat |
| Long-term Debt, net of current | $9,255M | $9,265M | roughly flat |
| Goodwill | $8,151M | $8,263M | roughly flat |
Total assets grew for the first time in several quarters this site has tracked, up 6% since year-end, on rising cash and a modestly higher Investments balance ($5,108 million from $4,401 million, reflecting this quarter's favorable equity-stake swing). One notable balance-sheet move: equity method investments fell sharply to $59 million from $870 million - worth watching for what drove the drop, though the filing text reviewed here doesn't isolate the specific cause. Liabilities, debt, and goodwill all stayed roughly flat.
Uber posted its first-ever quarterly GAAP operating profit this quarter - $326 million, unadjusted for stock-based compensation or depreciation - a genuine milestone after roughly 14 years of losses, alongside Adjusted EBITDA up 152% and six-month free cash flow up fivefold to $1.7 billion.
Segment Results
Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Q2 2023 vs. Q2 2022
| Segment | Adj. EBITDA Q2 2023 | Adj. EBITDA Q2 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobility | $1,170M | $771M | ✅ +52% |
| Delivery | $329M | $99M | ✅ +232% |
| Freight | $(14)M | $5M | ⚠️ swung to a loss |
Mobility and Delivery both set new quarterly highs. Freight posted its second straight Adjusted EBITDA loss, $(14) million, continuing the weakness first flagged in Q1 2023 - Freight Gross Bookings fell a further 31% year-over-year on a constant-currency basis this quarter, worse than Q1's 23% decline, on the same broader freight-industry macro headwinds management has cited for two consecutive quarters now.
Beyond the Usual
First-Ever GAAP Operating Profit - $326 Million, Fourteen Years After Uber's 2009 Founding
Uber reported income from operations of $326 million this quarter, positive for the first time since this site's coverage began (back to 2019-03, Uber's last quarter as a private company) and, per the company's own disclosures, the first profitable operating quarter in Uber's history as a business. This is a materially higher bar than Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes depreciation, stock-based compensation, and various one-time items - GAAP operating income includes all of those. Six consecutive quarters of positive and growing Adjusted EBITDA (since Q3 2021) finally translated into an operating line that's actually positive on an unadjusted basis, a milestone worth treating distinctly from the recurring "Adjusted EBITDA improved again" narrative this site has tracked through most of 2022 and 2023.
A New Joby Aviation Stake Appears in the Equity-Stake Disclosures
This quarter's equity-stake gain/loss breakdown includes a $151 million unrealized gain on a Joby Aviation investment - the first time this stake has appeared in this site's coverage of Uber's marketable/non-marketable equity holdings (previously tracked: Didi, Aurora, Grab, Zomato). Joby is an electric air-taxi (eVTOL) developer; the filing text reviewed here doesn't detail when or how Uber acquired this stake, which is worth confirming in a future post rather than assuming continuity with the four longer-tracked holdings.
Stock Price Since Last Quarter
Uber's stock rose sharply through the second quarter of 2023: from a March 31, 2023 close of $31.70, up to $31.05 in April (roughly flat), then a strong rally to $37.93 in May and $43.17 at the June 30, 2023 close - a gain of 36% for the quarter, Uber's third consecutive quarterly gain after Q1 2023's 28% rise and Q3 2022's 30% rise. The stock has now more than regained its Q2 2022 starting level ($35.68) and continues the recovery from 2022's broad growth-stock selloff, this time clearly tracking the company's own operating milestones (record free cash flow in Q1, first-ever operating profit this quarter) rather than diverging from them.
Target Valuation Range
Fairly-valued. Uber traded at an EV/Revenue multiple of roughly 3.1x against TTM revenue as of this quarter's close - up from Q1 2023's ~2.5x, as the stock's 36% quarterly gain outpaced trailing revenue growth, continuing the recovery from 2022's ~1.9x low.
With approximately 2,043,522,654 shares outstanding as of July 27, 2023 (per the 10-Q's cover page) and a June 30, 2023 close of $43.17, Uber's market capitalization was approximately $88.2 billion. Against total liabilities of $24.24 billion and cash and cash equivalents of $5.00 billion, enterprise value was roughly $107.5 billion - up sharply from the ~$83.9 billion calculated in the 2023-03 post, on the stock's quarterly gain. Against TTM revenue of roughly $35.0 billion (FY2022's $31,877 million, less H1 2022's $14,927 million, plus this quarter's H1 2023 total of $18,053 million), that implies an EV/Revenue» of roughly 3.1x.
| Jun 2023 | Mar 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| TTM Revenue | $35.0B | $33.8B |
| Enterprise Value | $107.5B | $83.9B |
| EV/Revenue | 3.1x | 2.5x |
A full DCF still isn't attempted here, but the case is now materially stronger: a positive GAAP operating quarter, six consecutive positive Adjusted EBITDA quarters, and six-month free cash flow up fivefold year-over-year to $1.7 billion. This site continues to hold off pending confirmation that the operating-income milestone holds for a second consecutive quarter rather than treating one quarter as sufficient - but the current ~3.1x EV/Revenue multiple, against a business that just posted its first-ever GAAP operating profit, is flagged here as worth revisiting again next quarter.
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2023, filed with the SEC in August 2023.