Uber's First Profitable Fiscal Year, Fourteen Years After Founding
The two consecutive positive operating quarters flagged in the Q2 2023 and Q3 2023 posts add up to Uber's first full fiscal year of GAAP profitability. Full-year income from operations was $1,110 million, versus a $(1,832) million loss in FY2022 - the first positive fiscal year this site has recorded. Net income attributable to Uber was $1,887 million for the year, Uber's first-ever profitable fiscal year, versus a $(9,141) million loss in FY2022. Adjusted EBITDA grew 137% to $4,052 million, and full-year free cash flow reached $3,362 million, up from $390 million in FY2022 - roughly a ninefold increase.
Derived Q4 2023 standalone results (full-year total less the nine-month total already reported through the 2023-09 post): revenue ~$9,936 million, income from operations ~$652 million (a fourth consecutive positive quarter and the strongest single quarter yet, up from Q3's $394 million), Adjusted EBITDA ~$1,283 million (a new high), net income attributable to Uber ~$1,429 million, and free cash flow ~$768 million. As with all Q4-derived figures on this site, these are computed rather than separately disclosed by the company.
The full-year net income figure was aided by a $1.6 billion net favorable swing in Uber's equity-stake portfolio: a $985 million unrealized gain on Aurora, $443 million on Didi, $84 million on Joby, and $80 million on Grab - a reversal from FY2022's combined $7.0 billion unrealized loss across the same stakes. Even excluding that swing, though, the underlying operating result - $1,110 million of GAAP operating income for the full year - stands as the more durable story: Mobility Adjusted EBITDA grew 50% to $4,963 million and Delivery Adjusted EBITDA grew 173% to $1,506 million, both new full-year highs, while Freight Adjusted EBITDA declined $64 million to a $(64) million loss, continuing the freight-market weakness flagged throughout the year.
The Prescription
This is the milestone this site has been building toward since the "first-ever quarterly operating profit" call in Q2 2023: a full fiscal year of GAAP profitability, both at the operating-income line and at net income. Unlike FY2021's brief flirtation with profitability (which was almost entirely non-operating gains) or Q4 2022's one-off UK-tax-settlement-adjacent profitable quarter, this year's profit came from four consecutive positive operating quarters - a genuine trend rather than a single data point.
The one segment still working against the story is Freight, which swung from breakeven in FY2022 to a $(64) million loss in FY2023 on a 24% revenue decline - the freight-market cycle Uber has cited on every call since Q1 2023 still hadn't turned by year-end. Investors should watch whether FY2024 brings a Freight recovery or whether it remains a persistent drag on an otherwise-improving portfolio.
Key Financial Metrics
FY2023 vs. FY2022 - consolidated, reported in USD
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2022 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $37,281M | $31,877M | ✅ +17% |
| Adjusted EBITDA» | $4,052M | $1,713M | ✅ +137% |
| Income (Loss) from Operations | $1,110M | $(1,832)M | ✅ first-ever positive fiscal year |
| Net Income (Loss) attributable to Uber | $1,887M | $(9,141)M | ✅ first-ever profitable fiscal year |
| Free Cash Flow | $3,362M | $390M | ✅ +762% |
Balance sheet: Dec 2022 vs. Dec 2023
| Balance sheet metric | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | $4,680M | $4,208M | ✅ +11% |
| Total Assets | $38,699M | $32,109M | ✅ +21% |
| Total Liabilities | $26,017M | $23,605M | up 10% |
| Long-term Debt, net of current | $9,459M | $9,265M | roughly flat |
| Goodwill | $8,151M | $8,263M | roughly flat |
Total assets grew 21% for the year. Long-term debt ticked up modestly. Goodwill stayed essentially flat, with no major acquisitions closing during the year.
Uber closed its first-ever profitable fiscal year: $1,110 million of GAAP operating income and $1,887 million of net income attributable to Uber, on revenue up 17% to $37.3 billion and free cash flow up roughly ninefold to $3.4 billion.
Segment Results
Segment Adjusted EBITDA, FY2023 vs. FY2022
| Segment | Adj. EBITDA FY2023 | Adj. EBITDA FY2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobility | $4,963M | $3,299M | ✅ +50% |
| Delivery | $1,506M | $551M | ✅ +173% |
| Freight | $(64)M | $0M | ⚠️ swung to a loss |
Both Mobility and Delivery posted their strongest full-year Adjusted EBITDA on record. Freight, which had reached exact breakeven in FY2022, declined to a $(64) million loss on a 24% full-year revenue decline attributed to "the challenging freight market cycle."
Beyond the Usual
A Genuinely Profitable Year, Not Just a Profitable Quarter
FY2021's net income briefly flirted with a smaller loss almost entirely on one-time gains (the ATG-to-Aurora sale and equity-stake marks); Q4 2022's rare quarterly profit leaned on a one-time UK tax settlement's accounting effects. FY2023 is different in kind: four consecutive quarters of positive GAAP operating income (Q1 2023's Q1 loss was the last negative operating quarter this site has recorded), a full-year operating profit of $1,110 million, and a full-year net profit of $1,887 million - even though $1.6 billion of that net profit came from the same equity-stake mark-to-market mechanism that has swung Uber's headline GAAP numbers unpredictably since 2021. This is the first year this site can describe as "genuinely profitable" rather than "profitable due to a one-off."
Stock Price Since Last Quarter
Uber's stock continued its climb through the fourth quarter: from a September 29, 2023 close of $45.99, up to $43.28 in October (a dip), then a sharp rally to $56.38 in November and $61.57 at the December 29, 2023 close - a gain of roughly 34% for the quarter, a fifth straight quarterly gain. For the full year, the stock rose from $24.73 (Dec 31, 2022) to $61.57 (Dec 29, 2023), up 149%.
Target Valuation Range
Fairly-valued. Uber traded at an EV/Revenue multiple of roughly 4.0x against FY2023 revenue as of year-end - up sharply from Q3 2023's ~3.2x, on the stock's strong Q4 rally.
With approximately 2,076,497,400 shares outstanding as of February 12, 2024 (per the 10-K's cover page) and a December 29, 2023 close of $61.57, Uber's market capitalization was approximately $127.8 billion. Against total liabilities of $26.02 billion and cash and cash equivalents of $4.68 billion, enterprise value was roughly $149.2 billion - up from the ~$115.6 billion calculated in the 2023-09 post, on the stock's Q4 rally. Against FY2023 revenue of $37,281 million, that implies an EV/Revenue» of roughly 4.0x.
| Dec 2023 | Sep 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| TTM/FY Revenue | $37.3B | $36.0B |
| Enterprise Value | $149.2B | $115.6B |
| EV/Revenue | 4.0x | 3.2x |
The valuation has re-rated meaningfully alongside the operating story: a first-ever profitable fiscal year, four consecutive positive GAAP operating quarters, and free cash flow up roughly ninefold year-over-year. A full DCF still isn't attempted here, but the multiple expansion from ~1.9x (Q2 2022's low) to 4.0x by year-end 2023 tracks the operating turnaround closely enough that this site continues to treat the stock as fairly reflecting - rather than lagging - the fundamentals, unlike the disconnects flagged in some of 2022's posts.
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, filed with the SEC in February 2024.