Growth and Margin Both Intact, But the Cash Flow Line Moved the Wrong Way
Lyft's Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2022 shows the Adjusted EBITDA profitability streak that began in Q2 2021 continuing into a fourth consecutive quarter, even as one of last year's other new milestones - positive operating cash flow, achieved briefly in Q3 2021 - reversed sharply. Total revenue was $875.6 million, up 43.8% year-over-year from $609.0 million in Q1 2021, though the year-over-year comparison is now the easiest in the pandemic-recovery period this site has tracked, since Q1 2021 was itself still a subdued quarter. Revenue was down 9.7% sequentially from the FY2021 post's derived Q4 2021 figure of approximately $969.9 million - the same kind of Q1 seasonal softness this site has observed in prior years (Q1 2020's and Q1 2019's sequential patterns were each shaped by different factors, but a Q4-to-Q1 step-down isn't unusual for Lyft). Active Riders were 17.8 million, up 31.9% year-over-year from 13.5 million but down 4.9% sequentially from Q4 2021's 18.7 million - a second consecutive quarter of sequential rider softness, following Q4 2021's Omicron-driven dip flagged in the FY2021 post. Revenue per Active Rider was $49.18, up 9.0% year-over-year but down 5.0% sequentially from Q4's all-time-high $51.79 - pricing gave back some of Q4's gain even as it stayed well above the year-ago level.
Contribution Margin was 57.4%, down from Q4 2021's derived 59.7% but still up sharply from Q1 2021's 55.4%, and Adjusted EBITDA was $54.8 million (6.3% margin), Lyft's fourth consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA, though down from the derived Q4 2021 figure of approximately $74.7 million. Loss from operations narrowed 52.1% year-over-year to $(199.3) million (from $(416.4) million) and net loss narrowed 53.9% year-over-year to $(196.9) million (from $(427.3) million) - both real, organic improvements this quarter, unlike Q3 2021's net-loss comparison, which was flattered by the one-time Woven Planet gain. The quarter's clearest area of concern: net cash used in operating activities was $152.3 million, nearly double Q1 2021's $79.5 million outflow and Lyft's widest quarterly operating cash outflow since before the Adjusted EBITDA turnaround began - a reminder that Adjusted EBITDA profitability and cash generation aren't the same thing, and this quarter is the clearest divergence between the two this site has tracked.
The Prescription
The gap this quarter between a fourth straight positive-Adjusted-EBITDA result and the widest operating cash outflow since the pandemic deserves a direct explanation from Lyft, not just a working-capital footnote - insurance reserve timing, incentive-payment timing, and seasonal Q1 patterns can all move cash flow independently of the underlying earnings trend, but $152.3 million is a large enough swing that investors should expect Lyft to walk through it explicitly rather than let the positive Adjusted EBITDA headline carry the whole quarter. Separately, with Active Riders now down sequentially for a second straight quarter, Lyft should be careful not to lean too hard on price (Revenue per Active Rider is still up nearly 10% YoY) to keep growing revenue while rider counts stall - a strategy that works until riders start finding it cheaper to drive themselves or use a competitor, and this filing doesn't yet show at what point that tradeoff starts to bind.
Key Financial Metrics
Q1 2022 vs. Q1 2021 - consolidated, reported in USD (Lyft reports natively in USD, no FX conversion needed)
| Metric | Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $875.6M | $609.0M | ✅ +43.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA» | $54.8M | $(73.0)M | ✅ swung to profit |
| Loss from Operations | $(199.3)M | $(416.4)M | ✅ narrowed 52.1% |
| Net Loss | $(196.9)M | $(427.3)M | ✅ narrowed 53.9% |
Balance sheet: March 31, 2022 vs. December 31, 2021 (as reported in this filing)
| Balance sheet metric | Mar 2022 | Dec 2021 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash + Short-Term Investments | $2,236.5M | $2,253.9M | ⚠️ -0.8% |
| Total Assets | $4,768.5M | $4,773.9M | ⚠️ flat |
| Total Liabilities | $3,610.5M | $3,432.7M* | ⚠️ +5.2% |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | $1,158.0M | $1,341.2M* | ⚠️ -13.7% |
*This filing's comparative Dec 31, 2021 liabilities/equity split differs slightly from the split reported in the FY2021 10-K covered in the prior post ($3,379.9M / $1,394.0M) - total assets of $4,773.9M match in both filings; the difference appears to be a presentation reclassification between liabilities and equity components rather than a restatement of total assets.
For the three months ended March 31, 2022, net cash used in operating activities was $152.3 million (nearly double Q1 2021's $79.5 million outflow) and capital expenditures were $30.3 million (up from $10.7 million in Q1 2021), for a Free Cash Flow» of $(182.7) million - Lyft's widest quarterly FCF outflow in this site's coverage of the post-recovery period. Long-term debt rose to $787.4 million from $655.2 million at year-end 2021.
Key Operational Metrics
Q1 2022 vs. Q1 2021 and Q4 2021
| Metric | Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | YoY | Q4 2021 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active Riders | 17.8M | 13.5M | ✅ +31.9% | 18.7M | ⚠️ -4.9% |
| Revenue per Active Rider | $49.18 | $45.13 | ✅ +9.0% | $51.79 | ⚠️ -5.0% |
| Contribution | $502.5M | $337.3M | ✅ +49.0% | ~$578.9M* | ⚠️ -13.2% |
| Contribution Margin | 57.4% | 55.4% | ✅ +2.0pp | ~59.7%* | ⚠️ -2.3pp |
*Q4 2021 Contribution figures are the implied figures derived in the [FY2021 post](/analysis/lyft/2021-12/) ($1,881.6 million full-year Contribution less $1,302.7 million disclosed through nine months), not a number Lyft has directly reported for that quarter alone.
Trailing the fourteen quarters this site has covered, quarterly Active Rider YoY growth now reads -45.2% → -36.4% → +97.3% → +51.4% → +49.2% → +31.9% (Q1 2022) - a fourth straight quarter of deceleration in the year-over-year growth rate as the comparison base keeps normalizing, alongside a second straight sequential decline (Q4 2021's Omicron-driven dip, now followed by Q1 2022's seasonal-plus-continued-softness pattern). Contribution Margin's run reads 55.4% → 59.1% → 59.4% → an implied 59.7% → 57.4% (Q1 2022), the first sequential Contribution Margin decline since Q1 2021. Lyft continues to report as a single reportable segment.
Beyond the Usual
The Proposition 22 Appeal Remains Pending, With No New Ruling This Quarter
The Court of Appeal briefing flagged in the FY2021 post - covering the Alameda Superior Court's August 2021 ruling that Proposition 22 is unenforceable, appealed by both the California Attorney General and the PADS coalition - remains underway as of this filing, with no ruling yet. The related Massachusetts Attorney General driver-misclassification suit also remains in its continued discovery period (through at least June 2022, as disclosed in the prior post). Neither matter shows new substantive developments this quarter; both remain open items this site will keep tracking to resolution.
Lyft Disclosed Ukraine/Belarus Exposure as a New Risk Factor, Without Quantifying Financial Impact
Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, this filing discloses for the first time that Lyft has offices and employees in Belarus and Ukraine that "have been and may continue to be adversely affected by the current conflict in the region, including potential displacement." The filing does not quantify a financial impact or headcount affected, and Lyft has no consumer-facing ride-hailing operations in the affected countries (these appear to be engineering/support functions) - this is a genuine new risk-factor disclosure worth flagging, but this filing alone doesn't provide grounds to size its materiality to Lyft's overall business.
Target Valuation Range
EV/Revenue compressed further, from roughly 4.9x to roughly 4.2x on a trailing-twelve-month basis, as the stock fell a further 10.1% over the quarter.
With approximately 348.0 million total shares outstanding (339,379,514 Class A plus 8,602,629 Class B, per the March 31, 2022 balance sheet) and a March 31, 2022 close of $38.40, Lyft's market capitalization was approximately:
| Metric | Amount (USD) |
|---|---|
| Share price (Mar 31, 2022 close) | $38.40 |
| Shares outstanding | 348.0M |
| Market capitalization | $13.36B |
| Total liabilities | $3.61B |
| Less: cash and short-term investments | $(2.24)B |
| Enterprise value | ~$14.74B |
Against trailing-twelve-month revenue of $3,474.9 million (Q2 2021 through Q1 2022: $765.0M + $864.4M + $969.9M + $875.6M, up from the full-year 2021 figure of $3,208.3 million a quarter earlier), that implies:
| Metric | FY2021 (prior quarter-end) | Q1 2022 (this quarter-end) |
|---|---|---|
| Enterprise Value | ~$15.9B | ~$14.7B |
| EV/Revenue» | ~4.9x (full-year basis) | ~4.2x (trailing-twelve-month basis) |
The stock fell 10.1% over the quarter, from $42.73 to $38.40, a fourth consecutive quarterly decline - the FY2021 post flagged a third straight decline as the largest single-quarter drop since the pandemic's onset, and this quarter extends that losing streak further even as revenue keeps growing and Adjusted EBITDA stays positive. The continued divergence between operating performance (four straight profitable-Adjusted-EBITDA quarters, 43.8% revenue growth) and valuation (a fourth straight quarterly stock decline, now at less than half the ~10.8x multiple this site flagged as stretched in the Q1 2021 post) suggests the market is pricing in risks - the pending Prop 22 appeal, this quarter's sharp operating-cash-outflow swing, or broader 2022 growth-stock multiple compression - that this filing's own reported operating results don't independently explain. A full DCF still isn't attempted here for the same reason as the FY2021 post: the Prop 22 appeal outcome remains a genuinely material, unresolved swing factor for Lyft's California cost structure.
Lyft, Inc.'s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2022, filed with the SEC in May 2022.